"Run Like Hell" - Pink Floyd
(What could be more appropriate than a video with -- in the words of a stoner friend on my sister's back in the day -- a "big mother pig.")
I am starting to enjoy this election far more than I ever thought possible. I don't want to get complacent, but boy this thing is unfolding about as well as I could have ever imagined. Watching various Republicans take pains to distance themselves from their standard bearer -- from George Allen to Tommy Thompson to Linda McMahon to Scott Brown -- is a real pleasure. Watching campaign co-chair Tim Pawlenty leave the campaign for a lobbying job just 45 days before the election is mind boggling. And we have a guy on our side who knows how to close -- who sees the bleeding brow of his opponent and can snap a quick jab right on target.
I do wish I had a completely comfortable sense of the polls -- if Nate Silver is perplexed, it goes without saying that so am I. But I get the sense that the Gallup and Rasmussen surveys really are going to be shown to be deeply flawed in this cycle and that their methodological weaknesses will have understated the likely Democratic vote in the election.
The bad thing is that even if the election goes well and Obama pulls off a victory of the same magnitude in 2008, the Dems keep the Senate -- and it includes stalwarts like Elizabeth Warren and Tammy Baldwin -- and make gains in the House, I think there is zero chance of any moderation among conservatives. The bad results are all going to be laid at the feet of Mitt Romney, who will achieve a special pariah status within his party that will be somewhere beyond that achieved by the likes of Michael Dukakis or George W. Bush. As a result, I think Republicans will continue to double down on extreme right wing ideology for at least several more election cycles -- especially if they get rewarded again in the off years in 2014.
I think the polling should be a little clearer by the end of next week. And then I think the debate on October 3rd will be the last event of consequence in the campaign. If that leaves the situation unmoved, everything else will be anticlimax, including the purported advertising blitz that the right is supposed to unleash in Rocktober -- I think it will be too much too late.
What say you?