A more detailed post on this will be coming soon, but of the twenty-five House seats currently held by retiring Republicans, twenty have a Partisan Voting Index equal to or less than MS-01. Nationwide, between between 110 and 120 House seats have a PVI that suggets they're more vulnerable than the district Dems won in Tuesday's special election. So, here is the baseline.
- every open seat is potentially vulnerable
- every first term incumbent is potentially vulnerable
- every Republican in a Kerry district should lose
- every Republican in a district with a PVI below GOP +8 should have $500,000 in seed money to see if they can make their race competitive.
Run. everywhere.
Get the works farms all set up all nice so...
They'll have a place to go...
permanently.
Posted by: has_te | May 15, 2008 at 08:13 AM