Here's Revision two of the "Run everywhere" data. Important updates:
- Now accounts for number of college graduates when estimating "White PVI"
- Adjusts for observed turnout among Black & Hispanic voters. However, because this figure is based on nationwide turnout, there are still strange effects. Presumably in Chicano-heavy districts in the Southwest, Hispanic turnout is higher.
- Incumbents and Open Seats are now on the same spreadsheet, though on different sheets.
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You can edit it now (I think). Play with the turnout and Obama's vote to change which seats are in play!For reference, Kerry lost white non-college voters 62-38; Gore lost them 58.5-41.5. Kerry lost white college voters 54.5-45.5; Gore lost them 55-45. Current polls show Obama losing white college voters by 4 and white non-college voters by 20.
