Indiana High School Graduation Rate Map

Based on the NYT decision tree published a few weeks ago, a county's high school graduation rate is a significant predictor of whether Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama will win. I think the real indicator is college graduation rates, but let's see where this takes us anyway. Clinton should be heavily favored in the lightest blue counties concentrated in Southern Indiana, while Obama stands to do well in and around Indianapolis, Lafayette (Purdue), Bloomington (IU), and Gary. The battleground district is IN-03 in the Northeast.

Comments

[Sir Charles]

I knew the music was a diversionary tactic.

So when do you make your fearless predictions?

[Nicholas Beaudrot]

Late this night/early tomorrow morning.