What's the word?
I don't think anyone knows what's going on on the Republican side. It's basically a dead heat. McCain and Romney are tied among early voters. Who will collapse more, Rudy (whose voters will probably break for McCain), or the Huck (whose voters will probably break for Romney)? So I will just say the GOP race will be Too Close To Call the whole night, and that therefore neither McCain nor Romney will get much mileage out of it. In addition, Florida is Winner-Take-All by Congressional District, meaning both candidates (as well as Giuliani and Huckabee) will likely pick up some delegates either way Update: The Florida race is WTA statewide if the RNC sanctions are upheld. There will be CD awards if the sanctions are not upheld. Just for fun, I'll say 35 Romney-34 McCain-13 Giuliani-11 Huckabee-7 Paul. Feel the Mittmentum!
On the Democratic side, I feel like the polls are undercounting black votes ... they have African-Americans turning out at a rate equal to their share of the public, rather than twice that number (which is what you would expect if almost all African-Americans are Democrats). Still, it won't be enough for him to win it. So I will say 54 Clinton - 37 Obama - 9 Edwards, with Johnny picking up a handful of delegates in North Florida.