7:40 eastern: From the very early results, it looks like Romney is winning in the Orlando and Jacksonville media markets, as well as some of the more rural counties in North Florida, even over Huckabee (!). McCain is winning in Tampa-St Pete, as well as the coast North of Miami. No numbers yet from Pensacola, PCB, or Miami yet.
7:42 The Secretary of State's page has shown an edge to Romney that CNN's page hasn't. It's very odd.
7:45 Collier County, just west of Miami-Dade, is so far giving a big edge to Romney.
7:49 Uh-oh. Miami-Dade is so far a two way between John McCain and Rudy! Romney's an afterthought with 10%. If he can't get any votes in Miami, then Mittens is in big trouble. Hopefully these are all absentee votes ...
7:53 Romney takes Baker County, which looks like a suburb or exurb of Jacksonville, 37-23, with Mike Huckabee coming in second at 29%.
8:02 In the words of various Star Wars characters, "I have a bad feeling about this". CNN has a 3 point lead for McCain that hasn't budged in a while. We're at 20% reporting. In order for Romney to make up the gap, you have to believe that the not-yet-reported votes are substantially different. Now, that's possible ... especially with the panhandle not yet reporting and Romney doing surprisingly well in rural areas ... but there are also big military bases in the panhandle, so I think things are looking rough for the Mittster.
8:15 CNN is still counting some passel of tremendously pro-McCain votes that the Florida Department of State isn't counting.
8:54 Oh I see. The Department of State's page says "may not include absentee or provisional ballots". Essentially Mittens is winning the poll vote by less than a percentage point, but losing the absentee/early vote by some margin. We're at half the ballots counted, and McCain's up 3, so unless the remaining poll voters come in strong for Mittens, it's over.
9:09 It looks like McCain took Miami, Tampa-St Pete, and the panhandle; Romney took Jacksonville; and they two split Orlando. So far.
9:13 CNN calls it for McCain. Looks good to me; McCain looks to have a few more outstanding votes than Romney. I gotta switch locales, but you'll get your map later tonight everybody.
