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January 19, 2008

2008 Nevada Republican and Democratic Primary/Caucus Result maps

Nevada_dem Nevada_gop The Republican results are rather boring; it's Mitt Romney's caucus, and we're just living in it. As mentioned before, Romney placed second to Ron Paul, who actually won Nye county by twenty votes. But Mittmentum took 58% of the vote in Clark County, and 44% in Washoe County. So it was never really close.

The Democratic results are a bit more interesting. Clinton won big not just in Vegas, but also the two neighboring counties, while Obama won the north and fared best in the sparsely populated Northeast. Team Obama's math is in fact correct; if the county and state caucuses yield similar results, Obama wins 13 delegates to Clinton's 12 by drawing a split in districts/counties that award an even number of delegates while winning the districts that award an odd number. Obama was -798 delegates in Clark County, +163 in Washoe County, and +13 in the rest of the state. To some extent, this is academic, as Team Obama's only goal is to kick up dust an hope the press reports the Clinton win as only a partial win.

Comments

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Well, the WSJ did use the partial win spin. To a lesser extent the Times did as well. So good spinning by Obama's team. I don't think that it matters much though - he might have needed a win here to get enough momentum for Super Tuesday when he will have to come from behind. Now he has to hope that SC is enough. We'll see.

Where was you fancy math in 2000?

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